Addressing Global Risks in the Philippines – Focus on State-Based Armed Conflict
The Philippines, strategically located in the Asia-Pacific region, faces a range of complex challenges that could threaten its national security and overall stability. One of the most pressing of these risks is state-based armed conflict, a global risk that has significant implications for the country’s economic, social, and political well-being. According to the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Perception Survey 2024–2025, state-based armed conflict is considered a top threat in many parts of the world, particularly within regions marked by territorial disputes and military competition.

In the case of the Philippines, this threat is largely driven by tensions in the West Philippine Sea, an area rich in natural resources and strategically vital for trade routes. The ongoing disputes over sovereignty claims between the Philippines, China, and other regional players like Vietnam and Malaysia have the potential to escalate into direct military confrontation, creating an environment of uncertainty. These conflicts are further compounded by geopolitical rivalries involving larger powers such as the United States and China, which could have significant ramifications for the Philippines' security.
The Current State of Armed Conflict in the Philippines
While the Philippines has made progress in resolving internal conflicts, particularly with insurgent groups like the New People’s Army (NPA), the broader external threats from state-based armed conflict remain a priority. Tensions over maritime boundaries and territorial sovereignty are among the key issues that could ignite an armed conflict in the West Philippine Sea. These conflicts not only jeopardize national security but also endanger the livelihoods of millions of Filipinos who rely on the resources in these disputed areas.
The Philippines' government, led by the Philippine National Defense Strategy, aims to strengthen its defense capabilities, engage in diplomatic negotiations, and build alliances with international partners. However, these strategies must address both the immediate military concerns and the long-term need for a peaceful, stable regional environment.
Biblical Foundation for Pursuing Peace and Justice
From a biblical perspective, the call for peace and justice is paramount in times of conflict. The Bible provides profound insights on the role of government and leadership in maintaining peace and justice within society. Proverbs 21:15 (NIV) reminds us that:
"When justice is done, it brings joy to the righteous but terror to evildoers."
This verse is a powerful reminder to leaders that their primary responsibility is to uphold justice, which in turn contributes to long-term peace and security. In the context of global risks, this message urges the Philippine government to take just and measured actions, particularly in the face of external threats that could escalate into armed conflict.
Applying this biblical principle, the Philippines is called to balance its national security priorities with an unwavering commitment to peace. Just governance involves making decisions that prioritize the welfare of its citizens while avoiding unnecessary escalation. In a globalized world, this also involves engaging in international diplomacy, where justice—rather than mere military might—can pave the way for peaceful resolutions.
Furthermore, the Bible also teaches leaders to be mindful of their conduct in matters of war and peace. In the book of Micah, for instance, the prophet envisions a future where nations “beat their swords into plowshares,” symbolizing the transformation of military might into tools for peace and prosperity (Micah 4:3). This biblical vision of peace emphasizes the importance of reconciliation and diplomacy over conflict.
Strategic Actions for the Philippines
In light of these biblical teachings, the Philippines can take several strategic steps to address state-based armed conflict:
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Strengthening Diplomacy: Through active engagement with regional and global powers, the Philippines can use diplomacy to address territorial disputes and prevent military escalation in the West Philippine Sea. Strengthening partnerships, particularly with Southeast Asian neighbors, can create a unified regional voice that advocates for peaceful dispute resolution.
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Building Defense Resilience: While diplomacy is paramount, the Philippines must also ensure that it has the military readiness to defend its territorial claims. Strengthening its defense infrastructure, improving maritime surveillance, and investing in modern defense technologies are key elements of a robust national security strategy.
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Public Engagement and Education: The government can foster national unity and resilience by promoting awareness of the risks associated with state-based armed conflict. By educating the public about the importance of peace and justice, the Philippines can cultivate a society that is both supportive of government policies and prepared to contribute to conflict prevention.
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Promoting International Collaboration: The Philippines should continue to strengthen its ties with like-minded countries and international organizations that prioritize peacebuilding. Through collaborative efforts in humanitarian aid, economic partnerships, and collective security arrangements, the nation can deter external threats and foster a more stable global environment.
"April 9, 2025 Day of Valor - If Andres Bonifacio Could Speak Today”
Today, we honor the heroes who gave their lives for Philippine freedom. As we observe the Day of Valor (Araw ng Kagitingan), one might wonder: what would Andres Bonifacio say if he stood among us today?
“Mga kababayan, ang tunay na lakas ng isang bayan ay nasa pagkakaisa, hindi sa takot. Huwag tayong magpalinlang sa mga huwad na kwento. Panatilihin natin ang ating dangal, ang ating karapatan, at ang ating kalayaan. Hindi sapat na alalahanin ang kabayanihan—kailangan itong isabuhay araw-araw.”
Bonifacio, a true man of action and principle, would probably call on us to stay vigilant against misinformation, to be resilient in tough times, and to stand firm in protecting our sovereignty. Even in this digital, fast-paced world, his call for truth (katotohanan) and freedom (kalayaan) hits hard and is more relevant than ever.
So, let today be more than just a memorial. Let it be a reminder that we all carry a piece of the fight Bonifacio started. Not with bolos or muskets, but with integrity, courage, and truth. Tackling the global risk of state-based armed conflict in the Philippines needs a well-rounded approach. With the wisdom and principles of justice and peace guiding us, we can steer through these rough international waters and make sure peace remains the ultimate goal.
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