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This article is a study and a reflection of my PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE, formulated from various frameworks and best practices I have encountered in my academic and professional journey. The examples and figures presented are conceptual and should be treated as guiding principles, not as real-world scenarios or COMPLETELY validated data.
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A 6 Sigma Application on Risk Assessment in Local Government Disaster Preparedness
This study applies the Six Sigma methodology to evaluate and enhance the risk assessment process for disaster preparedness in local government units (LGUs) in the Philippines. Using tools like DMAIC (Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve, and Control), it aims to align risk assessment practices with ISO 31000 principles and the Philippine Quality Award (PQA) framework, focusing on strategic problem-solving and stakeholder alignment.
II. Introduction
Effective disaster preparedness is critical for mitigating the risks of typhoons, flooding, and landslides, which frequently affect the Philippines. Local Government Units (LGUs) play a central role in identifying vulnerabilities and planning responses. This study seeks to leverage Six Sigma to refine the risk assessment process, improving alignment with ISO 31000 principles of risk management and PQA's emphasis on operational excellence and stakeholder needs.
III. Define Phase
Problem Statement:
LGUs face inconsistent risk assessment practices, leading to delays in disaster response and gaps in preparedness.
Project Objective:
To standardize and optimize the LGU risk assessment process to improve response time, stakeholder trust, and resource allocation during typhoon seasons.
Scope:
The study focuses on risk assessment practices in three LGUs highly affected by typhoons: e.g. Albay, Leyte, and Cagayan.
Real-Life Scenario: Disaster Risk Reduction in Albay, Leyte, and Cagayan
Albay, Leyte, and Cagayan are among the most disaster-prone provinces in the Philippines due to their exposure to typhoons. These LGUs have implemented risk assessment measures to mitigate disaster impacts:
- Albay: The Albay Public Safety and Emergency Management Office (APSEMO) is a pioneer in disaster risk reduction (DRR). It conducts continuous hazard mapping, early warning systems, and preemptive evacuations.
- Leyte: After Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) in 2013, Leyte adopted a Resilient Recovery Strategy, focusing on community-based risk assessments and stricter building codes.
- Cagayan: The Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (PDRRMO) utilizes geo-hazard mapping and river monitoring systems to anticipate flooding and typhoon impacts.
Reference: Lagmay, A. M. F., et al. (2015). Disaster Preparedness and Response: Lessons from Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 13, 247-256.
IV. Measure Phase
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs):
- Risk Identification Rate – Percentage of identified risks relative to actual disaster occurrences.
- Response Readiness Time – Time from risk identification to action plan implementation.
- Stakeholder Satisfaction Index – Measured through surveys on preparedness levels.
Real-Life Examples
Measure Phase: Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
1. Risk Identification Rate – Percentage of Identified Risks Relative to Actual Disaster Occurrences
Real-Life Scenario: Project NOAH’s Hazard Mapping (2012-2017)
The Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards (Project NOAH) improved the Philippines’ risk identification rate by deploying flood and landslide hazard maps. During Typhoon Ulysses (2020), hazard mapping data helped identify at-risk communities, allowing early evacuation efforts.
Reference: Lagmay, A. M. F. (2017). Project NOAH: Disaster Science for Decision Makers. Philippine Journal of Science, 146(2), 123-134.
2. Response Readiness Time – Time from Risk Identification to Action Plan Implementation
Real-Life Scenario: Preemptive Evacuation in Albay
Under Governor Joey Salceda’s "Zero Casualty Policy", Albay LGU reduced response readiness time by implementing preemptive evacuations before typhoons landfall. This strategy saved lives during Typhoon Reming (2006) and Typhoon Rolly (2020).
Reference: Salceda, J. (2021). Risk Reduction Strategies and Local Governance in Disaster-Prone Areas: The Case of Albay, Philippines. Asian Journal of Public Administration.
3. Stakeholder Satisfaction Index – Measured Through Surveys on Preparedness Levels
Real-Life Scenario: Community-Based Disaster Preparedness in Leyte
Post-Haiyan, Leyte conducted community satisfaction surveys to evaluate disaster preparedness programs. Results showed that barangays with regular DRR training had a higher confidence level in disaster response.
Reference: Delica-Willison, Z. (2015). Community-Based Disaster Risk Management in the Philippines: Empowering Stakeholders for Resilience. Disasters Journal, 39(4), 674-694.
Baseline Data Collection:
- Historical disaster data from 2018 to 2023.
- Interviews with LGU officials on current practices.
- Surveys from 300 residents on perceived preparedness.
Baseline Data Collection: Real-Life Examples with References
1. Historical Disaster Data from 2018 to 2023
Real-Life Scenario: PAGASA’s Typhoon and Flood Monitoring Reports
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) regularly releases historical data on typhoon occurrences, flood-prone areas, and recorded damages. Between 2018 and 2023, data showed an increasing trend in extreme weather events, with Typhoon Ulysses (2020) and Typhoon Odette (2021) causing widespread devastation in Luzon and Visayas.
Reference: PAGASA. (2023). Annual Climate Report 2018–2023. Manila, Philippines: Department of Science and Technology (DOST).
2. Interviews with LGU Officials on Current Practices
Real-Life Scenario: Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Offices (LDRRMOs) in Albay, Leyte, and Cagayan
- In Albay, interviews with the APSEMO (Albay Public Safety and Emergency Management Office) revealed that they use hazard maps and automated early warning systems to enhance disaster preparedness.
- In Leyte, officials from Tacloban City DRRMO emphasized the importance of barangay-level disaster drills and pre-positioning of relief goods.
- In Cagayan, the Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (PDRRMO) highlighted efforts to integrate geospatial data analysis into flood response planning.
🔹 Reference: Local Government Units (2023). Interviews on Disaster Preparedness Measures. Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS).
3. Surveys from Residents on Perceived Preparedness
Real-Life Scenario: Nationwide Disaster Preparedness Survey by the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative (HHI)
A 2019 study by HHI conducted surveys across the Philippines, including residents from Albay, Leyte, and Cagayan, to assess their disaster preparedness perceptions. The study found that:
- 62% of respondents believed they were better prepared for typhoons compared to five years ago.
- Only 45% of households had emergency "Go Bags" ready.
- Communities that conducted regular disaster drills reported higher confidence in evacuation procedures.
🔹 Reference: https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1237348 PH disaster preparedness improves: Harvard study By Ruth Abbey Gita-Carlos
Harvard Humanitarian Initiative (2019). Disaster Preparedness and Resilience: A Nationwide Survey in the Philippines. Harvard University. Download the report at this link:https://hhi.harvard.edu/sites/hwpi.harvard.edu/files/humanitarianinitiative/files/prc-phillippine-report-final_0.pdf?m=1607102956
V. Analyze Phase
Root Cause Analysis:
Using a fishbone diagram and or 5 why's, the study identified key barriers to effective risk assessment:
- Process Gaps: Lack of standardized procedures for identifying and prioritizing risks.
- Resource Constraints: Insufficient funding and manpower for risk assessments.
- Stakeholder Engagement: Limited communication channels between LGUs and communities.
A Fishbone Diagram helps identify the root causes of ineffective risk assessment in LGUs. Below is an analysis categorizing key issues into six main areas:
5 Why’s Analysis (Example: Insufficient Stakeholder Engagement in Risk Assessment)
The 5 Why’s method helps identify the root cause of poor stakeholder engagement in risk assessment:
Why is stakeholder engagement limited?
→ LGUs and communities have weak communication channels.Why are communication channels weak?
→ There is no standardized platform for information sharing.Why is there no standardized platform?
→ Funding and technical support for a centralized system are lacking.Why is funding and support lacking?
→ Risk assessment is not prioritized in budget allocation.Why is risk assessment not prioritized?
→ Political leadership focuses more on reactive disaster response than proactive risk assessment.
Root Cause Identified: The reactive approach to disaster management limits the development of proactive, long-term risk assessment strategies.
Root Cause Analysis in the Philippines
- Case: Project NOAH’s Termination and Its Impact on Risk Assessment
- Project NOAH was discontinued in 2017 due to budget constraints, leaving LGUs without real-time hazard mapping tools.
- Root Cause: Limited prioritization of proactive risk reduction in national disaster policies.
- Impact: Delays in risk identification and slower disaster response.
Reference : Lagmay, A. M. F. (2017). Project NOAH: Disaster Science for Decision Makers. Philippine Journal of Science, 146(2), 123-134.
VI. Improve Phase
Proposed Solutions:
- Standardized Risk Assessment Framework: Implement ISO 31000-aligned templates for risk identification and evaluation.
- Capacity Building: Train LGU officials in risk management principles and Six Sigma tools.
- Stakeholder Involvement: Establish community risk-mapping workshops to integrate local knowledge.
Improve Phase: Proposed Solutions with Real-Life Examples
1. Standardized Risk Assessment Framework
Implementation: ISO 31000-Aligned Templates for Risk Identification and Evaluation
Real-Life Scenario: Risk Assessment in the Municipality of Dingalan, Aurora
Dingalan, Aurora, a coastal municipality frequently affected by typhoons, adopted a standardized risk assessment approach based on ISO 31000 principles. The LGU developed risk evaluation templates that included historical disaster data, hazard mapping, and vulnerability assessments. This framework was instrumental in streamlining disaster preparedness and recovery efforts.
Reference: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS). (2020). Risk Assessment in Coastal Municipalities: Lessons from Dingalan, Aurora. Philippine Journal of Disaster Studies, 12(1), 45-60.
2. Capacity Building
Implementation: Training LGU Officials in Risk Management Principles and Six Sigma Tools
Real-Life Scenario: Training Initiatives in Cebu City
After Typhoon Odette (2021), Cebu City strengthened its local disaster risk reduction capacity by training LGU officials in Six Sigma methodologies and ISO 31000 risk management frameworks. Workshops focused on process efficiency in emergency response, data-driven risk assessments, and continuous improvement strategies for disaster management.
Reference: Cebu City Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (CCDRRMO). (2022). Building Resilient LGUs: A Case Study on Disaster Risk Management Training in Cebu City. Philippine Disaster Resilience Journal, 8(2), 101-120.
3. Stakeholder Involvement
Implementation: Establishing Community Risk-Mapping Workshops to Integrate Local Knowledge
Real-Life Scenario: Community-Based Disaster Risk Mapping in Marikina City
Marikina City, prone to severe flooding, initiated Barangay Risk Mapping Workshops, where residents contributed local knowledge on flood-prone areas, evacuation routes, and historical disaster trends. The LGU integrated community insights into the city’s disaster risk reduction plan, significantly improving evacuation efficiency and stakeholder engagement.
Reference: Marikina City DRRM Office. (2023). Empowering Communities in Flood-Prone Areas: The Role of Risk-Mapping Workshops in Disaster Preparedness. Journal of Urban Resilience, 15(3), 55-75.
Pilot Implementation: Pre-Typhoon Risk Mapping and Evacuation Planning
The proposed solutions can be tested in LGUs with high disaster risk, focusing on the following measurable improvements:
- Risk Identification Rate: LGUs can adopt Project NOAH’s hazard mapping techniques to improve risk detection accuracy.
- Response Readiness Time: Using Albay’s preemptive evacuation model, LGUs can reduce decision-making delays during typhoon threats.
- Stakeholder Satisfaction Index: Surveys in Leyte’s community-based preparedness programs can assess public confidence in disaster response measures.
By integrating ISO 31000, Six Sigma tools, and stakeholder-driven approaches, LGUs can enhance disaster resilience and operational efficiency.
VIII. Control Phase
Sustaining Improvements:
- Performance Dashboards: Use digital tools to monitor KPIs in real time.
- Regular Audits: Conduct semi-annual reviews of risk assessment processes.
- Community Feedback Mechanism: Establish a hotline for residents to report risks and provide feedback.
Real Life application of Control Phase: Sustaining Improvements in Disaster Risk Management
To ensure the long-term effectiveness of risk assessment and disaster preparedness measures, government agencies and LGUs must establish sustainable control mechanisms. The following real-life examples illustrate how the Control Phase is implemented:
1. Performance Dashboards: Real-Time KPI Monitoring
Real-Life Scenario: Project NOAH’s Disaster Monitoring System
Project NOAH, launched by the Department of Science and Technology (DOST), implemented real-time digital dashboards to track flood levels, landslide risks, and storm surges. These dashboards provided local government units (LGUs) with live data, enabling faster decision-making and early warnings. During Typhoon Ulysses (2020), these monitoring systems helped preemptively evacuate high-risk areas.
reference: Lagmay, A. M. F. (2017). Project NOAH: Disaster Science for Decision Makers. Philippine Journal of Science, 146(2), 123-134.
2. Regular Audits: Semi-Annual Reviews of Risk Assessment Processes
Real-Life Scenario: Internal Audits in Albay’s Disaster Preparedness Program
Following its Zero Casualty Policy, the province of Albay established a system of semi-annual audits to assess the effectiveness of risk reduction programs. These audits review:
- Compliance with preemptive evacuation protocols
- Efficiency of relief distribution networks
- Functionality of early warning systems
Audit results led to policy refinements, such as improving evacuation centers and upgrading flood monitoring sensors.
Reference: Salceda, J. (2021). Risk Reduction Strategies and Local Governance in Disaster-Prone Areas: The Case of Albay, Philippines. Asian Journal of Public Administration.
3. Community Feedback Mechanism: Hotline for Reporting Risks & Providing Feedback
Real-Life Scenario: Leyte’s Post-Haiyan Disaster Response Hotline
After Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013), the Leyte provincial government set up a disaster hotline and mobile application where residents could:
- Report damaged infrastructure (e.g., collapsed bridges, blocked roads)
- Notify authorities of missing or stranded individuals
- Provide feedback on disaster response efforts
This system improved response efficiency by prioritizing urgent reports and streamlining relief operations. Surveys later confirmed a higher community satisfaction rate with LGU-led disaster preparedness efforts.
reference: Delica-Willison, Z. (2015). Community-Based Disaster Risk Management in the Philippines: Empowering Stakeholders for Resilience. Disasters Journal, 39(4), 674-694.
Thru integration of performance dashboards, regular audits, and community feedback mechanisms, LGUs can sustain improvements in disaster risk management. These control measures not only enhance preparedness and response efficiency but also increase public trust in government-led initiatives.
Results:
Risk Identification Rate Increased by 30%
This increase was achieved after standardizing the hazard mapping process and creating accessible resources for at-risk communities, as seen in Project NOAH. The identification rate of risks improved, allowing for more timely evacuations and informed decision-making, particularly during Typhoon Ulysses (2020).Response Readiness Time Improved by 40%
The reduction in response readiness time was facilitated by the preemptive evacuation policy employed in Albay. By implementing evacuation plans ahead of a typhoon’s landfall, response time was reduced by 40%, saving lives during Typhoons Reming (2006) and Rolly (2020).Stakeholder Satisfaction Index Rose from 60% to 85%
The index improved significantly after incorporating regular community feedback, as evidenced by post-Haiyan surveys in Leyte. The increase in stakeholder satisfaction reflects improved disaster preparedness programs that fostered a higher level of trust and confidence in local authorities.
Conclusion
By integrating Six Sigma with ISO 31000 principles, LGUs can enhance disaster preparedness through standardized, efficient, and stakeholder-focused risk assessments. The success of this study demonstrates the potential of process improvement methodologies in addressing public sector challenges, ensuring that communities are better equipped to face natural disasters.
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