The use of Tacit Risk Knowledge as Practical Wisdom and MCDA/MCDM in Risk Management
Disclaimer from the Author:
Using a variety of frameworks and best practices that I have come across during my academic and professional career, this article is a study and reflection of my PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE. The given examples and figures are conceptual in nature and should be regarded as guiding principles rather than actual situations or fully verified data.
Instead of using this content as a final source for operational frameworks or policy implementation, readers are encouraged to use it as a reference for investigating concepts and tactics. Although the insights are intended to stimulate critical thinking and comprehension, neither official government procedures nor empirical research serve as their foundation.
When applying these ideas to actual circumstances, users should use caution and look for additional information or expert advice.
A strong framework for managing both quantifiable and unquantifiable risks is presented by the combination of structured tools such as Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) or Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) with practical wisdom (phronesis) in the dynamic field of risk management.1. Tacit Risk Knowledge as Practical Wisdom
Aristotle defined phronesis, or practical wisdom, as the implicit knowledge gained via moral judgement, introspection, and experience. When it comes to risk management, it shows up as:
making decisions based on intuition when information is ambiguous or lacking.
ethical judgement when risks have human repercussions that go beyond technical measurements.
Contextual sensitivity enables leaders to strike a balance between regulations and adaptability based on the circumstances.
Because it is ingrained in leadership practices, cultural norms, and situational learning, implicit risk is frequently uncodified. An experienced public health official might, for instance, "sense" the beginning of a crisis before official signs appear. Even though these insights are difficult to quantify, they are extremely valuable, particularly in high-stakes situations where ontological and epistemic uncertainties are prevalent.
By incorporating practical wisdom, organisations can:
When standard protocols aren't enough, adapt.
Identify "soft signals," or early indicators of possible dangers.
Make ethical and socially conscious choices in challenging situations.
However, in institutional or policy contexts where accountability is crucial, tacit knowledge alone may be problematic due to its lack of transparency and reproducibility.
2. Structured Decision-Making in the Face of Uncertainty (MCDA/MCDM)
The systematic equivalent of practical wisdom is offered by MCDA/MCDM. It allows decision-makers to evaluate a number of conflicting factors in an open and repeatable manner, including cost, safety, flexibility, environmental impact, and ethical considerations.
MCDA is especially helpful in risk management for:
arranging risks according to their impact, likelihood, and severity across a variety of dimensions.
assessing risk-reduction tactics and balancing immediate expenses with long-term gains.
promoting stakeholder participation since various viewpoints can be incorporated into the weightings and criteria.
MCDA, for example, can be used to balance health risks, infrastructure strain, economic gain, and community well-being when managing the influx of tourists to a local government unit (LGU). The qualitative observations of local leaders and public servants who depend on common sense are enhanced by this quantitative synthesis.
3. Combining the Two Methods
Combining MCDA/MCDM with common sense results in a thorough risk management framework that connects analysis and intuition:
Dimension of Useful Knowledge MCDA/MCDM
NatureContext-specific, implicit, and intuitiveUsefulness that is clear, organised, and methodicalManaging ambiguity, morality, and quick decisionsSetting priorities, weighing options, and making open decisions
RestrictionsSubjective and difficult to duplicatecould simplify complicated realities too much.
Best UseLow-data or high-uncertainty situationsComparison of multiple factors with specific objectives
Combining the two allows decision-makers to ensure that choices are well-reasoned and structured while also honouring the subtleties of human judgement.
In conclusion
By combining qualitative insight and quantitative rigour, risk management is enhanced by utilising MCDA/MCDM and incorporating practical wisdom as tacit knowledge. Because risks frequently cross technical, social, ethical, and spiritual dimensions, this dual approach is particularly important when making decisions in the public sector. Together, they create a well-rounded approach that can competently and morally navigate the unknown and uncertain while also managing known risks.
References:
Asana. (n.d.). Risk management process: Step-by-step guide. https://asana.com/resources/project-risk-management-process
BibleRef. (n.d.). What does Proverbs 16:9 mean? https://www.bibleref.com/Proverbs/16/Proverbs-16-9.html
1000minds. (n.d.). Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA/MCDM). Retrieved from https://www.1000minds.com/decision-making/what-is-mcdm-mcda